Introduction to Time Series Analysis

Author: Mark Pickup

Publisher: SAGE Publications

ISBN: 1483324540

Category: Social Science

Page: 232

View: 9470

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Introducing time series methods and their application in social science research, this practical guide to time series models is the first in the field written for a non-econometrics audience. Giving readers the tools they need to apply models to their own research, Introduction to Time Series Analysis, by Mark Pickup, demonstrates the use of—and the assumptions underlying—common models of time series data including finite distributed lag; autoregressive distributed lag; moving average; differenced data; and GARCH, ARMA, ARIMA, and error correction models. “This volume does an excellent job of introducing modern time series analysis to social scientists who are already familiar with basic statistics and the general linear model.” —William G. Jacoby, Michigan State University

Interrupted Time Series Analysis

Author: David McDowall

Publisher: SAGE

ISBN: 9780803914933

Category: Social Science

Page: 96

View: 2625

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Describes ARIMA or Box Tiao models, widely used in the analysis of interupted time series quasi-experiments, assuming no statistical background beyond simple correlation. The principles and concepts of ARIMA time series analyses are developed and applied where a discrete intervention has impacted a social system. '...this is the kind of exposition I wished I had had some ten years ago when venturing into the world of autoregressive, moving-average (ARIMA) models of time-series analysis...This monograph nicely lays out a method for assessing the impact of a discrete policy or event of some importance on behavior which can be continuously observed...If widely used, as I hope, it will save a generation of social scientists fro

Spatial Regression Models

Author: Michael D. Ward,Kristian Skrede Gleditsch

Publisher: SAGE

ISBN: 1412954150

Category: Mathematics

Page: 99

View: 406

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Assuming no prior knowledge this book is geared toward social science readers, unlike other volumes on this topic. The text illustrates concepts using well known international, comparative, and national examples of spatial regression analysis. Each example is presented alongside relevant data and code, which is also available on a Web site maintained by the authors.

Time Series Analysis in the Social Sciences

The Fundamentals

Author: Youseop Shin

Publisher: Univ of California Press

ISBN: 0520293169

Category: Mathematics

Page: 272

View: 7848

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"This book focuses on fundamental elements of time-series analysis that social scientists need to understand to employ time-series analysis for their research and practice. Avoiding extraordinary mathematical materials, this book explains univariate time-series analysis step-by-step, from the preliminary visual analysis through the modeling of seasonality, trends, and residuals to the prediction and the evaluation of estimated models. Then, this book explains smoothing, multiple time-series analysis, and interrupted time-series analysis. At the end of each step, this book coherently provides an analysis of the monthly violent-crime rates as an example."--Provided by publisher.

Time Series Analysis for the Social Sciences

Author: Janet M. Box-Steffensmeier,John R. Freeman,Matthew P. Hitt,Jon C. W. Pevehouse

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

ISBN: 1316060500

Category: Political Science

Page: N.A

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Time series, or longitudinal, data are ubiquitous in the social sciences. Unfortunately, analysts often treat the time series properties of their data as a nuisance rather than a substantively meaningful dynamic process to be modeled and interpreted. Time Series Analysis for the Social Sciences provides accessible, up-to-date instruction and examples of the core methods in time series econometrics. Janet M. Box-Steffensmeier, John R. Freeman, Jon C. Pevehouse and Matthew P. Hitt cover a wide range of topics including ARIMA models, time series regression, unit-root diagnosis, vector autoregressive models, error-correction models, intervention models, fractional integration, ARCH models, structural breaks, and forecasting. This book is aimed at researchers and graduate students who have taken at least one course in multivariate regression. Examples are drawn from several areas of social science, including political behavior, elections, international conflict, criminology, and comparative political economy.

Time-Series Analysis

A Comprehensive Introduction for Social Scientists

Author: John M. Gottman

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

ISBN: 0521235979

Category: Mathematics

Page: 400

View: 2419

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This book is a comprehensive introduction to all the major time-series techniques, both time-domain and frequency-domain. It includes work on linear models that simplify the solution of univariate and multivariate problems. The author begins with a non-mathematical overview and provides throughout, easy-to-understand, fully worked examples drawn from real studies in psychology and sociology.

Event History Analysis

Regression for Longitudinal Event Data

Author: Paul D. Allison

Publisher: SAGE

ISBN: 9780803920552

Category: Social Science

Page: 87

View: 6718

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Drawing on recent "event history" analytical methods from biostatistics, engineering, and sociology, this clear and comprehensive monograph explains how longitudinal data can be used to study the causes of deaths, crimes, wars, and many other human events. Allison shows why ordinary multiple regression is not suited to analyze event history data, and demonstrates how innovative regression - like methods can overcome this problem. He then discusses the particular new methods that social scientists should find useful.

An Introduction to Generalized Linear Models

Author: George H. Dunteman,Moon-Ho R. Ho,Moon-Ho R.. Ho

Publisher: SAGE

ISBN: 9780761920847

Category: Mathematics

Page: 72

View: 3758

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Do you have data that is not normally distributed and don't know how to analyze it using generalized linear models (GLM)? Beginning with a discussion of fundamental statistical modeling concepts in a multiple regression framework, the authors extend these concepts to GLM and demonstrate the similarity of various regression models to GLM. Each procedure is illustrated using real life data sets. The book provides an accessible but thorough introduction to GLM, exponential family distribution, and maximum likelihood estimation; includes discussion on checking model adequacy and description on how to use SAS to fit GLM; and describes the connection between survival analysis and GLM. It is an ideal text for social science researchers who do not have a strong statistical background, but would like to learn more advanced techniques having taken an introductory course covering regression analysis.

Introduction to Power Analysis

Two-Group Studies

Author: E. C. Hedberg

Publisher: SAGE Publications

ISBN: 1506343147

Category: Social Science

Page: 160

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Introduction to Power Analysis: Two-Group Studies provides readers with the background, examples, and explanation they need to read technical papers and materials that include complex power analyses. This clear and accessible guide explains the components of test statistics and their sampling distributions, and author Eric Hedberg walks the reader through the simple and complex considerations of this research question. Filled with graphics and examples, the reader is taken on a tour of power analyses from covariates to clusters, seeing how the complicated task of comparing two groups, and the power analysis, can be made easy.

Mediation Analysis

Author: Dawn Iacobucci

Publisher: SAGE

ISBN: 141292569X

Category: Mathematics

Page: 85

View: 5788

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Social science data analysts have long considered the mediation of intermediate variables of primary importance in understanding individuals' social, behavioural and other kinds of outcomes. In this book Dawn Iacobucci uses the method known as structural equation modeling (SEM) in modeling mediation in causal analysis. This approach offers the most flexibility and allows the researcher to deal with mediation in the presence of multiple measures, mediated moderation, and moderated mediation, among other variations on the mediation theme. The wide availability of software implementing SEM gives the reader necessary tools for modeling mediation so that a proper understanding of causal relationship is achieved.

Principal Components Analysis

Author: George H. Dunteman

Publisher: SAGE

ISBN: 9780803931046

Category: Mathematics

Page: 96

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For anyone in need of a concise, introductory guide to principal components analysis, this book is a must. Through an effective use of simple mathematical-geometrical and multiple real-life examples (such as crime statistics, indicators of drug abuse, and educational expenditures) -- and by minimizing the use of matrix algebra -- the reader can quickly master and put this technique to immediate use.

Design and Analysis of Time Series Experiments

Author: Richard McCleary,David McDowall,Bradley Bartos

Publisher: Oxford University Press

ISBN: 0190661585

Category:

Page: N.A

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Design and Analysis of Time Series Experiments presents the elements of statistical time series analysis while also addressing recent developments in research design and causal modeling. A distinguishing feature of the book is its integration of design and analysis of time series experiments. Drawing examples from criminology, economics, education, pharmacology, public policy, program evaluation, public health, and psychology, Design and Analysis of Time Series Experiments is addressed to researchers and graduate students in a wide range of behavioral, biomedical and social sciences. Readers learn not only how-to skills but, also the underlying rationales for the design features and the analytical methods. ARIMA algebra, Box-Jenkins-Tiao models and model-building strategies, forecasting, and Box-Tiao impact models are developed in separate chapters. The presentation of the models and model-building assumes only exposure to an introductory statistics course, with more difficult mathematical material relegated to appendices. Separate chapters cover threats to statistical conclusion validity, internal validity, construct validity, and external validity with an emphasis on how these threats arise in time series experiments. Design structures for controlling the threats are presented and illustrated through examples. The chapters on statistical conclusion validity and internal validity introduce Bayesian methods, counterfactual causality and synthetic control group designs. Building on the earlier of the authors, Design and Analysis of Time Series Experiments includes more recent developments in modeling, and considers design issues in greater detail than any existing work. Additionally, the book appeals to those who want to conduct or interpret time series experiments, as well as to those interested in research designs for causal inference.

Fixed Effects Regression Models

Author: Paul D. Allison

Publisher: SAGE Publications

ISBN: 1483389278

Category: Social Science

Page: 136

View: 439

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This book demonstrates how to estimate and interpret fixed-effects models in a variety of different modeling contexts: linear models, logistic models, Poisson models, Cox regression models, and structural equation models. Both advantages and disadvantages of fixed-effects models will be considered, along with detailed comparisons with random-effects models. Written at a level appropriate for anyone who has taken a year of statistics, the book is appropriate as a supplement for graduate courses in regression or linear regression as well as an aid to researchers who have repeated measures or cross-sectional data. Learn more about "The Little Green Book" - QASS Series! Click Here

Multilevel Modeling

Author: Douglas A. Luke

Publisher: SAGE

ISBN: 9780761928799

Category: Mathematics

Page: 79

View: 6043

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A practical introduction to multi-level modelling, this book offers an introduction to HLM & illustrations of how to use this technique to build models for hierarchical & longitudinal data.

Bayesian Statistical Inference

Author: Gudmund R. Iversen

Publisher: SAGE

ISBN: 9780803923287

Category: Mathematics

Page: 80

View: 787

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Empirical researchers, for whom Iversen's volume provides an introduction, have generally lacked a grounding in the methodology of Bayesian inference. As a result, applications are few. After outlining the limitations of classical statistical inference, the author proceeds through a simple example to explain Bayes' theorem and how it may overcome these limitations. Typical Bayesian applications are shown, together with the strengths and weaknesses of the Bayesian approach. This monograph thus serves as a companion volume for Henkel's Tests of Significance (QASS vol 4).

Agent-Based Models

Author: Nigel Gilbert,Professor Nigel Gilbert

Publisher: SAGE

ISBN: 1412949645

Category: Social Science

Page: 98

View: 4769

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Aimed at readers with minimal experience in computer programming, this brief book provides a theoretical and methodological rationale for using ABM in the social sciences. It goes on to describe some carefully chosen examples from different disciplines, illustrating different approaches to ABM. It concludes with practical advice about how to design and create ABM, a discussion of validation procedures, and some guidelines about publishing articles based on ABM.

Regression Diagnostics

An Introduction

Author: John Fox

Publisher: SAGE

ISBN: 9780803939714

Category: Mathematics

Page: 92

View: 6239

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With Regression Diagnostics, researchers now have an accessible explanation of the techniques needed for exploring problems that compromise a regression analysis and for determining whether certain assumptions appear reasonable. The book covers such topics as the problem of collinearity in multiple regression, dealing with outlying and influential data, non-normality of errors, non-constant error variance and the problems and opportunities presented by discrete data. In addition, sophisticated diagnostics based on maximum-likelihood methods, scores tests, and constructed variables are introduced.

Neural Networks

Author: Herve Abdi,Dominique Valentin,Betty Edelman

Publisher: SAGE

ISBN: 9780761914402

Category: Computers

Page: 89

View: 5280

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Neural networks, adaptive statistical models based on an analogy with the structure of the brain, can be used to estimate the parameters of some population using one (or a few) exemplars at a time. This book introduces readers to the basic models of neural networks and compares and contrasts these models using other statistical models. Through the use of examples that can be computed by hand or with a simple calculator, the authors describe and explain the various models.

An Introduction to Statistical Learning

with Applications in R

Author: Gareth James,Daniela Witten,Trevor Hastie,Robert Tibshirani

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

ISBN: 1461471389

Category: Mathematics

Page: 426

View: 5956

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An Introduction to Statistical Learning provides an accessible overview of the field of statistical learning, an essential toolset for making sense of the vast and complex data sets that have emerged in fields ranging from biology to finance to marketing to astrophysics in the past twenty years. This book presents some of the most important modeling and prediction techniques, along with relevant applications. Topics include linear regression, classification, resampling methods, shrinkage approaches, tree-based methods, support vector machines, clustering, and more. Color graphics and real-world examples are used to illustrate the methods presented. Since the goal of this textbook is to facilitate the use of these statistical learning techniques by practitioners in science, industry, and other fields, each chapter contains a tutorial on implementing the analyses and methods presented in R, an extremely popular open source statistical software platform. Two of the authors co-wrote The Elements of Statistical Learning (Hastie, Tibshirani and Friedman, 2nd edition 2009), a popular reference book for statistics and machine learning researchers. An Introduction to Statistical Learning covers many of the same topics, but at a level accessible to a much broader audience. This book is targeted at statisticians and non-statisticians alike who wish to use cutting-edge statistical learning techniques to analyze their data. The text assumes only a previous course in linear regression and no knowledge of matrix algebra.

Essentials of Time Series for Financial Applications

Author: Massimo Guidolin,Manuela Pedio

Publisher: Academic Press

ISBN: 0128134100

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 434

View: 2558

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Essentials of Time Series for Financial Applications serves as an agile reference for upper level students and practitioners who desire a formal, easy-to-follow introduction to the most important time series methods applied in financial applications (pricing, asset management, quant strategies, and risk management). Real-life data and examples developed with EViews illustrate the links between the formal apparatus and the applications. The examples either directly exploit the tools that EViews makes available or use programs that by employing EViews implement specific topics or techniques. The book balances a formal framework with as few proofs as possible against many examples that support its central ideas. Boxes are used throughout to remind readers of technical aspects and definitions and to present examples in a compact fashion, with full details (workout files) available in an on-line appendix. The more advanced chapters provide discussion sections that refer to more advanced textbooks or detailed proofs. Provides practical, hands-on examples in time-series econometrics Presents a more application-oriented, less technical book on financial econometrics Offers rigorous coverage, including technical aspects and references for the proofs, despite being an introduction Features examples worked out in EViews (9 or higher)